Because at 82 Mubarak is too old, while his son never did earn the right to replace his father, Egypt’s government will fall, and another government of an entirely different nature will follow!
There are two possible scenarios, one positive, the other frightening!
The scary option is one that will be indirectly driven by Ahmadinejad, it will create a radical Islamic Republic in Egypt, a regime that, in large part, will be driven by Hamas forces in Gaza. If such a scenario materializes,( a part of Ahmadinejad grand plan to control the Islamic world,) a turmoil beyond anyones imagination can be expected. Since Ahmadinejad, and the Iranian, are Arian, not Semites, Shia, not Sunni, the present situation may be a catalyst to a significant realignment of global division of power…
The other potential scenario, Egypt emerging as a secular democratic country, the total Middle East will become a much different political environment than it is today. It is quite likely that even under such a scenario, Gaza will be annexed to Egypt which will cause a new confrontational situation with Iran. In such scenario the power assumed by the new ruler will determine how strong Iran will become.
The Egypt situation, especially after the recent change of government in Tunisia, does change the total alignment of Middle East power; with Iran either getting weaker, or much more powerful, depending on the nature of new regime.
The new Middle East situation will force Israel to keep an eye on development and take whatever action it deems necessary. Israel will be forced to be involved, covertly, or otherwise, by making sure that development do not lead to a situation that will endanger it security, including, but not limited to, a situation with more Iranian influence in the region.
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