Obazma’s 50% estimate for Israeli Palestinian peace is inflated:

19 Jan

Starting with an overview of President Obama’s political view about the GOP, he seems to be right, even though he seemed to be walking on eggs by not mentioning the African-American vote. Based on Obama’s horrible performance, neither he, nor the Democrats are very popular. That notwithstanding, the Republicans are not doing much better, and as Obama said, their relations with minorities are abysmal.
Moving to the Middle East where the Obama Administration, under Hillary Clinton, did a horrible job. Mrs. Clinton mistook and supported Arab Springs not realizing that it was a move towards strengthening Sharia law, and labeled Assad: “A true reformer,” being in large part responsible for the escalation of the conflict.
Moving on to President Obama’s view of the Israeli situation: In order to have peace one must have to have an entity with whom to have peace, and since there is no “Palestine,” there is much less than 50% chance for peace. The”Palestinians” are not ready for a state any more than the Arab part of the region is ready for a new state. This is especially so with the influx of over four million Syrian refugees dumped mostly on Jordan and on Lebanon.
As to “peace” in Syria, the likelihood is more like 10% than Obama’s 50%. The present regime (a branch of Shiite) will prevail, but with someone else in place of Assad; it will operate under a strong Iranian influence.
As to geographic changes; there will be some, including more secure borders for Israel.
Finally, a significant Sunni/Shiite conflict will likely continue in Syria and Lebanon, for many years. The conflict will have Iran (with Russia,) supporting the Shiite, while the Saudis (with elements of al Qaeda) and with some minimal US help, supporting the Sunni.
There is no end in sight to the regional Inter-Islam conflict in the; let us hope the the “collateral” damage, and the “scapegoating” of Zionism, does not hurt Israel too much.

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Why delay Afghanistan departure? Staying one more day = zero sum loss!

18 Jan

“Since the Obama Administration forfeited Afghanistan to the Taliban and other Islamic groups, a decision which much like leaving Iraq too soon, and Syria red-line fiasco will allow Iran to control the Middle East on the way to becoming the leaser of the Islamic World, why stay any longer?.
Consistent with Secretary Gates words, the regional wars were converted from trying to have some US impact on the the Muslim part of the Middle East, to an effort to appease the US electorate.
Since the decision to leave Afghanistan soon is made, why not simply start immediately, since leaving American troops in harm’s way with a political, or military objective will simply results in dead American for no reason whatsoever.
Starting with the “leading from behind,” at Arab Springs, a move towards the expansion Sharia law that Hillary Clinton mistook as a move towards democratization, following by the capitulation on the Syria red line, then the “humble-pie” with Iran, the United State, under President Obama, is handing over the Islamic ME to Iran to control.
The idea of getting the US out of Afghanistan now, not later, is imperative. Even Sunni countries in the region fear [Shiite] Iran’s gaining control. They fear it so much that the following adage applies: “My enemy’s enemy is my friend,” resulting in Israel having tacit permission to use Saudi airspace should it decide to rid the world of Iran’s nukes.
The message to President Obama, get out of Afghanistan now! Not later, but now!”

Syria, is the conflict a divine message for the Middle East?

7 Dec

The Middle East (ME) a region full of misunderstandings-based conflicts; a hub in world instabilities. The United States misunderstanding of the region is of much like that of the British nation even when much of the area was under its control.
Most of ME conflicts had their roots in it oil richness, that reason is closely followed by religious.
The oil issue is easily understandable, oil means energy, and energy is what fuels the economies of civilization.
The religious issues have several different causes. The most recent and most visible to the international community is that of Islamic nations against Israel. The Islam conflict with Israel is quite young in historical terms, even though the issue between Jew and Muslims has its roots in the Quran, and is therefore as old as that book, or about 1400 years. The Quran consider Jews: “Of apes and swines, to be despised and rejected (5:60).” The book refers to Jews “as people of the book,” is suggests that Allah wished for them to be “his” people and that because they rejected him, they must be either converted, or otherwise destroyed. Present day extension of the conflict has two distinct phases. At the late nineteen hundreds, Jews started to move into Palestine, the Arabs in the country rejected that move thus started to conflict. Much of Palestinian Arab leadership even sided with Hitler; it so much hated the Jews.
The second, and present phase started in 1948 with the establishment of the State OF Israel.
The other major conflict, much larger in scope, and one that spans the globe is an internal conflict within Islam. Islam has two major segments, Sunni (80%) and Shiite (20%) there are also subsets of the two major unites, Alawit (Assad’s religious affiliation) is a sub-set of the Shiite part of Islam.
Briefly, the magnitude of the Arab Israeli conflict versus those within Islam is staggering. For example, Hafez al Assad (the father of today’s’ Syrian leader) was responsible for killing 60,000 Syrians; Bashar Assad already is responsible for well over 120,000 deaths of Syrians; in comparison, from 1989 to now, less than suicide bombers killed one thousand Israelis. These numbers are actually a case of apples and oranges since there are 7,000,000 inhabitants in Israel and there are one thousand as many Muslims in the Muslim countries that are in Israel’s neighborhood.
Let us look at the present Syrian conflict and its impact on the region. The conflict, which started nearly three years ago as a national, mostly secular conflict through a push by Syria’s intelligentsia, had a strong beginning with the element of surprise on its side. The rebels, however, in order to make their efforts a surprise, were not able to organize, or equip themselves very well since they counted on United States support to be consistent with US support of democratization in the region.
To the rebels’ surprise, under Hillary Clinton’s who considered Bashar Assad “a true reformer,” the US decided to stay on the sidelines.
Without US support for the rebels, the Syrians regime, with the help of Russia (state-of-the-art equipment and advisers,) and Iran (personnel, direct and with Hezbollah,) and equipment, was able to rebound, overcome the surprise, and delay what would have been the inevitable ouster of Assad. As the regime (Shiite based,) Syria’s Sunni brethren, mostly Saudi Arabia and the Gulf states started to help the rebels, but with their helps a large element of al Qaeda also entered the fray, and a real regional religious war emerged.
What will happen after the war ends? Who is going to win?
Let us start by saying that predicting the outcome of the war is not yet possible. So let us take a quick look at the two potential scenarios, and in a little more detail at the end results, which would likely be quite similar of, regardless who wins or looses.
If the regime wins, it would likely have to do so without Assad at the head since the international community is already on record as rejecting his legitimacy. Presiding over Syria under such circumstances would be an Iranian appointed puppet, while the military would be headed by, and include a large Hezbollah contingency. It would likely have a Supreme Leader who will likely be an Ayatollah. In this scenario, Russia will remain strong influence on the country’s future.
Should the rebels win, Syria would also become a highly religious entity but under Sunni leadership. Under such circumstances the Saudis will have a great deal to say about the country leadership, its military would have a large al Qaeda element.
Whatever the outcome, United States influence would diminish!
Effects on the region, on the Middle East. Since about four million Syrians would have left Syria by the time the conflict ends, and very few will return, demographics of the region will change. Lebanon: some a million and a half, to two million Syrians, mostly Sunnis will remain in Lebanon. With Hezbollah a strong element in Lebanon, and Shiite, new religious conflicts within Lebanon, a struggle for control will ensue.
Half a million or about that many refugees in Turkey may not have a great influence on the future of that country, but as the result of the conflict and fringe events, it is very likely the a sovereign Kurdistan will emerge.
Jordan: With well over a million refugees Jordan will suffer. Since there are already more foreigners (Palestinians) in Jordan than are Jordanians, adding numerous Syrians will very likely weaken the already vulnerable monarchy, a shakedown of national control would very possibly result.
In addition to a sovereign Kurdistan one can count on the Golan Heights remaining permanent part of Israel, and so will likely be the Baaka Valley.
Since the long suffering Kurds who were deprived of their own land for a very long time are likely to get their own sovereign nation, and Israel should have enhanced security on its northern border, while the situation in Jordan should help determine the fate of the Palestinians, as a nation, or as part of a new Jordan. Could helping historically oppressed people suggest that the Syrian conflict was just another case of divine intervention?

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Several billion $$ to Iran for diversion from 24/7 coverage of Obamacare: Or, America the prostitute, selling what is right for what is expedient!

25 Nov

Several billion $$ to Iran for diversion from 24/7 coverage of Obamacare: Or, America the prostitute, selling what is right for what is expedient!

What a disgrace. Just three weeks ago, on November 4, 2013, Iran’s Supreme Commander, the Ayatollah Ali Khamenei declared that America was the most hated country in the world! On the same day the Supreme Leader led a chant by large crowds in Tehran: “Death to America!”
In three weeks the Supreme Leader changed his view and has a good faith agreement with the same “hated” Americans; to those who accept that premise, I have a bridge in Brooklyn that I’ll sell you cheap!
The deal was brewing for several months in secret, a deal that the Obama Administration can use to further its [political] interests; a few million in relief on sanctions for a “deal” the Administration can use for various political ends, as it turned out, a G-d sent situation that would allow the Administration to divert attention away from the 24/7 media coverage of the miserably failing Obamacare, what a disgusting selling out what is right for what is expedient!

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Obama, the master of diversion; the Iran ruse, a cover-up?

24 Nov

A ruse, is a ruse, is a ruse! And the Iran agreement is just that, a ruse! Since 2012 the Obama Administration has been holding “secret” discussion with Iran preparing a “deal” that can be used when major diversion from major issues that hurt President Obama and his Administration. The ACA with its 24/7 media coverage was just such a problem.
My many years with Iran suggest that we have another ruse on our hand; this view is also consistent with the Obama’s Administration being masters of distractions, and diversions.
Most recently, when President Obama capitulated on the Syria red line and was made to look foolish by Putin who shoved him aside to take over the negotiation. The following snubs by the Iranians at the United Nation filled the news 24/7, then the Government shutdown, and the complete diversion that Obama could have stopped with a stroke of a pen. His delay of ACA now would have kept the shutdown from happening.
Now the big mess surrounding ACA has been getting 24/7 media coverage; out of the hat comes a deal with Iran…A ploy, a joke, within weeks it will be exposed for what it is, a ruse!
Notable diversion by the Obama Administration:
Benghazi, failed diversion using some obscure ant0Islm movie.
Syria’s red-line and negotiation and the snubs by Iran at the UN, the Government shut-down
Obamacare (ACA), a ruse Iran deal
What a devious Commander in Chief (C.i.C.) we have, what a divisive Government!

Afghanisten: US troops to remain, with US apology?

21 Nov

Our Nobel Peace Prize winning President continues to show a deep fear of Islam, and continuing involvement in “less than peaceful” endeavors. Much talk yet no results in any case involving any Muslim entity.
Capitulating, as Obama did, on the red line in Syria, groveling to Iran in spite of being snubbed several times, and continuing to offer the Iranian’s more and more concessions in spite of more and more rejections by Iran.
Hillary Clinton’s support of the radical Islamic Arab Spring action, and her declaring Assad “a true reformer,” the US supported mess in Egypt, and mow the deal with Afghanistan which Karzan will delay, and that in spite of Kerry’s statement to the contrary, will be accompanied by a US apology. Under President Obama, and in spite, or perhaps because his Cairo speech, the United States standing in the Islamic World declined, just as it did in Israel. Our Nobel Prize winning President seemed to have caused a less peaceful world than he found when entering office, in spite of moving US troops out of Iraq, and starting a move out of Afghanistan.

Khamenei: “We Thank Allah for Obama; Allah Akbar!”

16 Nov

Iran’s Supreme Leader, the Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, a man of enormous stature, prays to Allah six times a days, sometimes more. The Supreme Authority, Khamenei, is a devout Muslim who accepts the Quran, as the final and last authority for what mankind must do.
The Quran edicts that Muslims must seek world domination, that is one of the Ayatollah’s most important goals, he diligently works on the task, he devotes hours to that challenge, every day. Khamenei plan starts with a plan for controlling the Islamic World; notwithstanding the fact that his Shii part of Islam only represents about 20% of Muslims.
Based on world politics, the Ayatollah Khamenei devouts a number of his prayers every day to expressing gratitude to Allah for special gifts that help him to better perform his obligations. For the last four and a half (plus) years, the Ayatollah devotes time to thank Allah for putting Barak Hussein Obama at the head of the “free world.”
The Ayatollah Khamenei noted that Obama’s formative years in Islamic environment, followed by influences from the infidel but the positive anti-American teaching of the Reverend Wright, prepared the young mulatto American for Islam to manipulate; a gift from Allah that he was always grateful for.
Khamenei plan started with the insertion of the brash Ahmadinejad to speak for him in order to soften Obama and show that he (Obama) can be pushed around with impunity, the Ayatollah followed with the milder sounding, yet more sophisticated Hassan Rouhani; Khamenei is preparing the a the coup de grace, to get sanctions removed, and for allowing Iran to complete its nuclear development plans.
Khamenei orchestrated the humiliation of Obama when Rouhani, his second in command, was to visit the United Nations in New York. He did so in steps, very effective steps: First, Rouhani accepted a television interview by CNN. During the interview Rouhani announced to the world that he rejected an invitation to meet by President Obama; he was also able to squeeze in enough words to say that he even rejected an invitation for a handshake with President Obama’s.
It followed by President Obama giving Rouhani an expensive present, followed by Obama phoning the Iranian and saying that Iran US relations are thawing. The Ayatollah then took the opportunity to dismiss the phone call as “meaningless.”
On November 4, 2013, as the United States was planning to offer Iran concessions regarding its nuclear development program, the Ayatollah declares that: “American is the most hated country in the world.” After that, Khamenei led chants: “Death to America!”
Two weeks later the Iranians are in Geneva manipulating the United States, its allies, and the UN in negotiations.
The Ayatollah Ali Khamenei: “Thank you Allah for Obama, may he live long and prosper!”